Published August 28, 2018 | Version v1
Journal article Open

Aversion to ambiguity and model misspecification in dynamic stochastic environments

  • 1. University of Chicago
  • 2. Boston University

Description

Preferences that accommodate aversion to subjective uncertainty and its potential misspecification in dynamic settings are a valuable tool of analysis in many disciplines. By generalizing previous analyses, we propose a tractable approach to incorporating broadly conceived responses to uncertainty. We illustrate our approach on some stylized stochastic environments. By design, these discrete time environments have revealing continuous time limits. Drawing on these illustrations, we construct recursive representations of intertemporal preferences that allow for penalized and smooth ambiguity aversion to subjective uncertainty. These recursive representations imply continuous time limiting Hamilton–Jacobi–Bellman equations for solving control problems in the presence of uncertainty.

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Additional details

Identifiers

DOI
10.1073/pnas.1811243115
Other
oai:uchicago.tind.io:9721

Funding

Alfred P. Sloan Foundation
G-2018-11113

UChicago Information

Division(s)
Booth School of Business, Physical Sciences Division, Social Sciences Division
Department(s)
Kenneth C. Griffin Department of Economics, Macroeconomics, Microeconomics, Statistics