Published December 23, 2024 | Version v1
Journal article Open

The effect of job loss on risky financial decision-making

  • 1. Norwegian School of Economics
  • 2. University of Chicago
  • 3. University of Sydney
  • 4. Indiana University

Description

Job loss is a common and disruptive life event. It is known to have numerous long-term negative effects on financial, health, and social outcomes. While the negative effects of becoming unemployed on health and well-being are well understood, the influence of job loss on financial decisions has received little attention. Across a large-scale survey $(N=37,854)$, spending data from a bank $(N=404,470)$, and two online experiments (total $N=1,403)$, we find that job loss increases financial risk-taking. First, in survey data, job loss is associated with elevated levels of self-reported financial risk-taking and lottery ticket purchases. Next, using administrative data from a large bank, we find consistent causal evidence of the influence of job loss on gambling spending. Although total spending decreases after job loss, gambling spending is less affected than our control categories. Finally, we turn to two incentive-compatible manipulations of job loss operationalized in a lab setting. We find that this experimental manipulation increases the take-up of financial risks. The current finding that job loss increases financial risk-taking could accentuate long-term negative financial effects of job loss.

Data availability

Survey and experimental data have been deposited in OSF Job Loss and Risk Taking (https://osf.io/jmy4f/) (41). The study based on data from an Australian Bank is proprietary, and we cannot make it public. The code we used to generate the analyses is available in the OSF repository. Our data use agreement with the bank does not allow us to reveal the identity of the bank. Amy Boonstra (amy.boonstra@chicagobooth.edu), who manages the contractual relationship between the University of Chicago Booth School of Business and the bank, can be contacted to facilitate requests to the bank for access to the archived data which will be contingent upon approval of the bank's research team.).

Files

hirshman-et-al-2024-the-effect-of-job-loss-on-risky-financial-decision-making.pdf

Files (7.2 MB)

Name Size Download all
Article
md5:fd5107da763270d212d88a14680c8fb6
1.7 MB Preview Download
Supporting information
md5:203bc62c4e6db981be5d87ac859d87c1
5.5 MB Preview Download

Additional details

Identifiers

DOI
10.1073/pnas.2412760121
Other
oai:uchicago.tind.io:14369

Funding

National Science Foundation
1846764/2305559
University of Chicago
University of Chicago
University of Chicago
Beatrice Foods Co. Faculty Research Fund

UChicago Information

Division(s)
Booth School of Business
Department(s)
Behavioral Science