Published May 2, 2022 | Version v1
Journal article Open

Cryptocurrencies, currency competition, and the impossible trinity

  • 1. University of Bern
  • 2. Washington University in St Louis
  • 3. University of Chicago

Description

We analyze a two-country economy with complete markets, featuring two national currencies as well as a global (crypto)currency. If the global currency is used in both countries, the national nominal interest rates must be equal and the exchange rate between the national currencies is a risk-adjusted martingale. Deviation from interest rate equality implies the risk of approaching the zero lower bound or the abandonment of the national currency. We call this result Crypto-Enforced Monetary Policy Synchronization (CEMPS). If the global currency is backed by interest-bearing assets, additional and tight restrictions on monetary policy arise. Thus, the classic Impossible Trinity becomes even less reconcilable.

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Additional details

Identifiers

DOI
10.1016/j.jinteco.2022.103601
Other
oai:uchicago.tind.io:5180

Funding

Fondation Banque de France
Swiss National Science Foundation
100018_197669

UChicago Information

Division(s)
Social Sciences Division, The College
Department(s)
Kenneth C. Griffin Department of Economics, Social Sciences